Modesto could see temps above 100 degrees soon. Here’s when to expect ‘major heat risk’
The summer heat is starting to creep into the Central Valley — and forecasts show Modesto could see above 100-degree temperatures next week.
According to the National Weather Service, there is a significant warming trend in the forecast, with potential for major heat risk.
“Latest forecast gives the Valley a medium to high likelihood of hitting triple digits,” the weather service said on X, formerly called Twitter.
Here’s what’s in store for Modesto and who might be vulnerable during these hot weather conditions:
What’s in the weather forecast for Modesto?
While it’s uncertain exactly how long the heat will last, how hot it will get, or which days will be the hottest next week, temperatures could exceed 100 degrees from Tuesday through Thursday.
In Modesto, there’s a 6% chance of temperatures exceeding 100 degrees on Tuesday, a 70% chance on Wednesday and a 74% chance on Thursday.
As of Friday, the latest seven-day weather forecast for Modesto shows clear, sunny skies and high temperatures throughout next week.
This weekend, temperatures are expected to reach a high of around 89 degrees, with lows of about 58 degrees on Saturday and 62 degrees on Sunday.
On Monday, the forecast shows a high temperature near 86 and a low temperature around 61 degrees.
Tuesday will see a high near 96 degrees and a low around 68.
Wednesday’s forecast predicts a high of approximately 103 degrees and a low around 70.
Thursday will continue with high temperatures near 103 degrees.
Next week’s heat risk will range from moderate to major.
What does heat risk mean?
The heat risk scale, or the weather service’s HeatRisk Prototype, provides a forecast that shows the likelihood of heat-related problems occurring.
From little or no risk (0) to extreme risk (4), the scale calculates how hot it is compared to normal, how long the heat lasts and if it’s likely to cause health issues based on data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
According to the weather service, moderate heat risk “affects most individuals sensitive to heat, especially those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.”
Major heat risk “affects anyone without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.”
Who’s at risk?
Vulnerable individuals include those who are pregnant, newborns, children, older adults and those with a chronic illness. These groups are more at risk due to age and conditions that make it difficult to regulate high temperatures.
This story was originally published May 31, 2024 at 11:00 AM.
