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Flood watch ahead for Modesto as rain hits already wet soil. Strong winds expected, too.

The National Weather Service predicts a wet week for Modesto, even putting a flood watch in effect from 10 p.m. Monday to 8 a.m. Thursday. The area could get up to 2 inches of rain during that period, according to an NWS map released Sunday.

There’s also a wind advisory through noon Wednesday. Winds of up to 13 mph during the day Monday are predicted to rise to as much as 23 mph after midnight. Wind gusts in the early hours of Tuesday could be as high as 30 mph.

“An atmospheric river will take aim at Northern California this week,” a weather service news release states. “Several days of persistent rain are expected and may become heavy at times. This additional precipitation on top of already nearly saturated soils will raise the risk for river, urban and small stream flooding issues.

“Soils will become saturated early in the event and some snow melt may add to the water flowing into the rivers for the foothills and lower mountain elevations and onto roadways (mainly below 4,000 feet). Most foothill small rivers are currently forecast to peak/crest on Wednesday but a few may take until early Thursday.”

Monday, there’s a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast after 11 a.m., amounting to probably less than a tenth of an inch, the weather service says. But after 11 p.m. Monday, the chance of rain rises to 70 percent, and up to half an inch might fall.

The chance of rain Tuesday is 80 percent, rising to 100 percent at night. Modesto could receive up to half an inch Tuesday, and up to three-quarters of an inch that night. Winds Tuesday are expected to be 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

Wednesday starts with a 90 percent chance of rain, dropping to 80 percent by night. Morning winds are predicted to be 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

There’s a 40 percent chance of showers Thursday before the night turns partly cloudy.

Friday should be mostly sunny, the weather service says, but a chance of showers returns that night and lasts at least through Sunday.

This story was originally published February 24, 2019 at 3:33 PM.

Deke Farrow
The Modesto Bee
Deke has been an editor and reporter with The Modesto Bee since 1995. He currently does breaking-news, education and human-interest reporting. A Beyer High grad, he studied geology and journalism at UC Davis and CSU Sacramento.
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