Only two games left but still much to be decided

With two games to play in the regular season, the boys basketball teams at Modesto and Davis high schools might be in control of their destiny as they fight for a Sac-Joaquin Section playoff berth.

Finish with back-to-back victories, and they're going to the Division I playoffs — most likely. Lose one and the playoffs are over — probably. Lose both and it's time to turn in the uniforms.

That was the cloudy message contained in the final in-season power ratings released Tuesday.

The section uses the ratings to tab 16 playoff teams in each of five divisions for boys and girls. A committee will gather Sunday to assemble the brackets and massage the seedings.

Which is why Modesto Christian's boys, seeded fourth in Division IV, could be No. 2 Sunday. MC is No. 4 in the Division IV state rankings, but the Trans-Valley League's low strength rating drags down MC's power rating.

The committee likely will put MC and top seed Colfax — 21-2 and the Crusaders' top threat — in separate brackets, setting up a potential MC-Colfax final.

There will be no massaging of the figures for Modesto or Davis, however. They are Nos. 15 and 16 — the final two berths in Division I — with two games to play.

Jesuit of Carmichael is No. 17 and could overtake both teams if it wins twice this week, even if Modesto and Davis both go 2-0. The Marauders' league — the Delta River League — has an 8.0 strength rating, while the Modesto Metro Conference is at 7.2 — so Jesuit's wins are worth more.

One thing is clear:

The Stanislaus District is king of Division IV. Ten of the 16 boys' teams and up to nine girls' teams could be from the district.